Tag: presidential election

Now that the campaigns have officially come to a close, and the election results are in, we finally have our moment of truth here at SurveyMonkey for how closely our polling data estimated the actual election results.

So, without further …

Every four years, the presidential election places a handful of states in the national spotlight. These “battleground” or “swing” states–so called because no political party or candidate has secured overwhelming support from voters–are often the focal point of campaigners in …

UPDATE–11/6, 3:30AM PST

As an addition to the data provided below, results from our presidential poll tracker from Monday, 11/5 indicates that Virginia has gone blue in all three of our models. Also, our raw model now matches our model …

One of the benefits of having a large daily sample of U.S. voters at our fingertips is that we are able to track voting trends.

Daily events, news cycles, and yes, even natural disasters, all influence voter preference. Even after weighting …

In the week left before the election, analysts around the country are working overtime to predict who will win this year’s presidential race. SurveyMonkey and Voto Latino joined forces to survey voters and get their opinions about this long election …

Last week, we unveiled a special project we’ve been working on–our effort to estimate voting preferences in the upcoming election.

We reported that of the 810,477 likely voters who completed the survey, 47.1% planned on voting for Barack Obama and 45.2% planned …

Picture this. You’re curled up in bed watching the nightly news…“Obama is leading in the polls!” says a pundit decisively. When a commercial comes on, you change the channel. “Romney has a massive lead in the polls!” says another pundit …